As we draw near the end of 2023, I thought I’d peer into my crystal ball and see what 2024 has in store.
It’s cloudy.
Or at least it was for 2023. Who could have foreseen the rise of ChatGPT, the destruction of Twitter, Adobe bailing on its $20bn Figma acquisition, or Apple unveiling a $3500 VR headset? I’m sure 2024 will have some twists and turns that are impossible to foresee.
On the other hand, some things are easy to predict. There will be more hacks, breaches, and leaks. AI will grow and become even more obnoxious. Europe will issue new regulations.
But outside of these trend lines, here’s a few things I think we might expect:
The 2GB RAM/$5 price point because more popular. We’ve already seen this quite a bit on recent offers and the trend is likely to continue. It wasn’t that long ago that 1GB RAM/$5 was common, even aggressive. Note that the big providers like DigitalOcean are at 1GB RAM/$6…ouch.
Dropbox will be acquired. I hope this doesn’t come true, because I’ve been a hardcore Dropbox user since almost the day they launched. But being a one-trick pony in a market where your core product is already copied by multiple giant tech firms is not tenable.
One of our community’s most famous hosts will announce they’ve been sold. Care to guess who?
Deep fakes…unconvincing deep fakes everywhere. After all, it’s an election season in the US. But will anyone actually fall for these? Instead I think you’ll just see the public being trained to be very skeptical about anything they see online. The one exception might be an absolutely killer, plausible deep fake blasted everywhere just as people go to the polls, before it can be disproven.
Vast but Uninteresting Open Worlds. As GenAI comes to game design, it’ll be trivial to create a massive world for people to explore…but one that will likely be repetitive and soulless.. Will exploring a world that was created without human invention really feel the same as one hand-crafted by humans? To me, wandering around the universes of Fallout, Skyrim, Ghost Recon: Wildlands, etc. is not just playing the game but also interacting with the authors like reading a book or listening to an album.
What do you think will happen in 2024? Leave your own predictions in the comments below!
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